Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001254 0.001297 0.001342 0.001390 0.001442 0.001496 0.001556
2025-08-10 0.001178 0.001241 0.001309 0.001385 0.001470 0.001562 0.001669
2025-08-17 0.001115 0.001192 0.001275 0.001372 0.001484 0.001609 0.001762
2025-08-24 0.001063 0.001149 0.001243 0.001357 0.001491 0.001646 0.001842
2025-08-31 0.001041 0.001136 0.001244 0.001377 0.001537 0.001729 0.001981
2025-09-07 0.001013 0.001116 0.001234 0.001381 0.001563 0.001787 0.002092
2025-09-14 0.000981 0.001088 0.001212 0.001369 0.001568 0.001817 0.002167
2025-09-21 0.000950 0.001059 0.001187 0.001352 0.001564 0.001835 0.002226
2025-09-28 0.000925 0.001037 0.001170 0.001342 0.001568 0.001862 0.002297
2025-10-05 0.000888 0.000998 0.001130 0.001302 0.001529 0.001830 0.002281
2025-10-12 0.000868 0.000980 0.001114 0.001292 0.001530 0.001851 0.002343
2025-10-19 0.000854 0.000968 0.001107 0.001293 0.001545 0.001890 0.002436
2025-10-26 0.000836 0.000951 0.001092 0.001284 0.001546 0.001912 0.002504
2025-11-02 0.000826 0.000944 0.001091 0.001291 0.001571 0.001969 0.002635
2025-11-09 0.000810 0.000930 0.001079 0.001285 0.001576 0.001997 0.002720
2025-11-16 0.000794 0.000914 0.001065 0.001274 0.001573 0.002013 0.002786
2025-11-23 0.000791 0.000915 0.001072 0.001293 0.001614 0.002098 0.002982
2025-11-30 0.000782 0.000908 0.001068 0.001297 0.001633 0.002150 0.003125
2025-12-07 0.000768 0.000894 0.001055 0.001286 0.001630 0.002166 0.003199
2025-12-14 0.000753 0.000878 0.001039 0.001272 0.001619 0.002168 0.003248
2025-12-21 0.000741 0.000866 0.001028 0.001263 0.001618 0.002185 0.003327
2025-12-28 0.000719 0.000841 0.000998 0.001227 0.001572 0.002125 0.003242
2026-01-04 0.000708 0.000830 0.000988 0.001218 0.001569 0.002138 0.003311